Social
Problems
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11 / Chapter 13
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Social Problems
by Henry George 1883
Chapter 12
Over-Production
[01] THAT, as declared
by the French Assembly, public misfortunes and corruptions of government
spring from ignorance, neglect or contempt of human rights, may be
seen from whatever point we look.
[02] Consider this matter
of "over-production" of which we hear so much -- to which is so commonly
attributed dullness of trade and the difficulty of finding employment.
What, when we come to think of it, can be more preposterous than to
speak in any general sense of over-production? Over-production of
wealth when there is everywhere a passionate struggle for more wealth;
when so many must stint and strain and contrive, to get a living;
when there is poverty and actual want among large classes! Manifestly
there cannot be over-production, in any general and absolute sense,
until desires for wealth are all satisfied; until no one wants more
wealth.
[03] Relative over-production,
of course, there may be. The production of certain commodities may
be so far in excess of the proper proportion to the production of
other commodities that the whole quantity produced cannot be exchanged
for enough of those other commodities to give the usual returns to
the labor and capital engaged in bringing them to market. But this
relative over-production is merely disproportionate production. It
may proceed from increased production of things of one kind, or from
decreased production of things of other kinds.
[04] Thus, what we would
call an over-production of watches -- meaning not that more watches
had been produced than were wanted, but that more had been produced
than could be sold at a remunerative price -- would be purely relative.
It might arise from an increase in the production of watches, outrunning
the ability to purchase watches; or from a decrease in the production
of other things, lessening the ability to purchase watches. No matter
how much the production of watches were to increase, within the limits
of the desire for watches, it would not be over-production, if at
the same time the production of other things increased sufficiently
to allow a proportionally increased quantity of other things to be
given for the increased quantity of watches. And no matter how much
the production of watches might be decreased, there would be relative
over-production, if at the same time the production of other things
were decreased in such proportion as to diminish in greater degree
the ability to give other things for watches.
[05] In short, desire
continuing, the over-production of particular commodities can be only
relative to the production of other commodities, and may result from
unduly increased production in some branches of industry, or from
the checking of production in other branches. But while the phenomena
of over-production may thus arise from causes directly operating to
increase production, or from causes directly operating to check production,
just as the equipoise of a pair of scales may be disturbed by the
addition or the removal of a weight, there are certain symptoms by
which we may determine from which of these two kinds of causes any
disturbance proceeds. For while to a limited extent, and in a limited
field, these diverse causes may produce similar effects, their general
effects will be widely different. The increase of production in any
branch of industry tends to the general increase of production; the
checking of production in any branch of industry tends to the general
checking of production.
[06] This may be seen
from the different general effects which follow increase or diminution
of production in the same branch of industry. Let us suppose that
from the discovery of new mines, the improvement of machinery, the
breaking up of combinations that control it, or any other cause, there
is a great and rapid increase in the production of coal, out of proportion
to the increase of other production. In a free market the price of
coal therefore falls. The effect is to enable all consumers of coal
somewhat to increase their consumption of coal, and somewhat to increase
their consumption of other things, and to stimulate production, by
reducing cost, in all those branches of industry into which the use
of coal directly or indirectly enters. Thus the general effect is
to increase production, and to beget a tendency to re´stablish the
equilibrium between the production of coal and the production of other
things, by raising the aggregate production.
[07] But let the coal
operators and syndicates, as they frequently do, determine to stop
or reduce the production of coal in order to raise prices. At once
a large body of men engaged in producing coal find their power of
purchasing cut off or decreased. Their demand for commodities they
habitually use thus falls off; demand and production in other branches
of industry are lessened, and other consumers, in turn, are obliged
to decrease their demands. At the same time the enhancement in the
price of coal tends to increase the cost of production in all branches
of industry in which coal is used, and to diminish the amount both
of coal and of other things which the users of coal can call for.
Thus the check to production is perpetuated through all branches of
industry, and when the re´stablishment of equilibrium between the
production of coal and the production of other things is effected,
it is on a diminished scale of aggregate production.
[08] All trade, it is
to be remembered, is the exchange of commodities for commodities --
money being merely the measure of values and the instrument for conveniently
and economically effecting exchanges. Demand (which is a different
thing from desire, as it involves purchasing power) is the asking
for things in exchange for an equivalent value of other things. Supply
is the offering of things in exchange for an equivalent value of other
things. These terms are therefore relative; demand involves supply,
and supply involves demand. Whatever increases the quantity of things
offered in exchange for other things at once inereases supply and
augments demand. And, reversely, whatever checks the bringing of things
to market at once reduces supply and decreases demand.
[09] Thus, while the
same primary effect upon the relative supply of and demand for any
particular commodity or group of commodities may be caused either
by augmentation of the supply of such commodities, or by reduction
in the supply of other commodities -- in the one case, the general
effect will be to stimulate trade, by calling out greater supplies
of other commodities, and increasing aggregate demand; and in the
other case, to depress trade, by lessening aggregate demand and diminishing
supply. The equation of supply and demand between agricultural productions
and manufactured goods might thus be altered in the same direction
and to the same extent by such prosperous seasons or improvements
in agriculture as would reduce the price of agricultural productions
as compared with manufactured goods, or by such restrictions upon
the production or exchange of manufactured goods as would raise their
price as compared with agricultural productions. But in the one case,
the aggregate produce of the community would be increased. There would
be not only an increase of agricultural products, but the increased
demand thus caused would stimulate the production of manufactured
goods; while this prosperity in manufacturing industries, by enabling
those engaged in them to increase their demand for agricultural productions,
would react upon agriculture. In the other case, the aggregate produce
would be decreased. The increase in the price of manufactured goods
would compel farmers to reduce their demands, and this would in turn
reduce the ability of those engaged in manufacturing to demand farm
products. Thus trade would slacken, and production be checked in all
directions. That this is so, we may see from the different general
effects which result from good crops and poor crops, though to an
individual farmer high prices may compensate for a poor yield.
[10] To recapitulate:
Relative over-production may proceed from causes which increase, or
from causes which diminish, production. But increased production in
any branch of industry tends to increase production in all; to stimulate
trade and augment the general prosperity; and any disturbance of equilibrium
thus caused must be speedily readjusted. Diminished production in
any branch of industry, on the other hand, tends to decrease production
in all; to depress trade and lessen the general prosperity; and depression
thus produced tends to perpetuate itself through larger circles, as
in one branch of industry after another the check to production reduces
the power to demand the products of other branches of industry.
[11] Whoever will consider
the wide-spread phenomena which are currently attributed to over-production
can have no doubt from which of these two classes of causes they spring.
He will see that they are symptoms, not of the excess of production,
but of the restriction and strangulation of production.
[12] There are with
us many restrictions of production, direct and indirect; for production,
it must be remembered, involves the transportation and exchange as
well as the making of things. And restrictions imposed upon commerce
or any of its instruments may operate to discourage production as
fully as restrictions imposed upon agriculture or manufactures. The
tariff which we maintain for the express purpose of hampering our
foreign commerce, and restricting the free exchange of our own productions
for the productions of other nations, is in effect a restriction upon
production. The monopolies which we have created or permitted to grow
up, and which levy their toll upon internal commerce, or by conspiracy
and combination diminish supply and artificially enhance prices, restrict
production in the same way; while the taxes levied upon certain manufactures
by our internal revenue system directly restrict production.*
[13] So, too, is production
discouraged by the direct taxes levied by our States, counties and
municipalities, which in the aggregate exceed the taxation of the
Federal government. These taxes are generally levied upon all property,
real and personal, at the same rate, and fall partly on land, which
is not the result of production, and partly on things which are the
result of production; but insomuch as buildings and improvements are
not only thus taxed, but the land so built upon and improved is universally
rated at a much higher assessment, and generally at a very much higher
assessment, than unused land of the same quality,**
even the taxation that falls upon land values largely operates as
a deterrent to production.
[14] To produce, to
improve, is thus fraught with a penalty. We, in fact, treat the man
who produces wealth, or accumulates wealth, as though he had done
something which public policy calls upon us to discourage. If a house
is erected, or a steamship or a factory is built, down comes the tax-gatherer
to fine the men who have done such things. If a farmer go upon vacant
land, which is adding nothing to the wealth of the community, reclaim
it, cultivate it, cover it with crops, or stock it with cattle, we
not only make him pay for having thus increased wealth, but, as an
additional discouragement to the doing of such things, we tax him
very much more on the value of his land than we do the man who holds
an equal piece idle. So, too, if a man saves, our taxes operate to
punish him for his thrift. Thus is production checked in every direction.
[15] But this is not
all. There is with us a yet greater check to production.
[16] If there be in
this universe superior intelligences engaged, with higher powers,
in the study of its infinite marvels, who sometimes examine the speck
we tenant with such studious curiosity as our microscopists watch
the denizens of a drop of water, the manner in which, in such a country
as this, population is distributed, must greatly puzzle them. In our
cities they find people packed together so closely that they live
over one another in tiers; in the country they see people separated
so widely that they lose all the advantages of neighborhood. They
see buildings going up in the outskirts of our towns, while much more
available lots remain vacant. They see men going great distances to
cultivate land while there is yet plenty of land to cultivate in the
localities from which they come and through which they pass. And as
these higher intelligences watch this process of settlement through
whatever sort of microscopes they may require to observe such creatures
as we, they must notice that, for the most part, these settlers, instead
of being attracted by each other, leave between each other large patches
of unused land. If there be in the universe any societies which have
the same relation to us as our learned societies have to ants and
animalcul~, these phenomena must lead to no end of curious theories.
[17] Take in imagination
such a bird's-eye view of the city of New York as might be had from
a balloon. The houses are climbing heavenward -- ten, twelve, even
fifteen stories, tier on tier of people, living, one family above
another, without sufficient water, without sufficient light or air,
without playground or breathing-space. So close is the building that
the streets look like narrow rifts in the brick and mortar, and from
street to street the solid blocks stretch until they almost meet;
in the newer districts only a space of twenty feet, a mere crack in
the masonry through which at high noon a sunbeam can scarcely struggle
down, being left to separate the backs of the tenements fronting on
one street from the backs of those fronting on another street. Yet,
around this city, and within easy access of its center, there is plenty
of vacant land; within the city limits, in fact, not one-half the
land is built upon; and many blocks of tall tenement-houses are surrounded
by vacant lots. If the improvement of our telescopes were to show
us on another planet, lakes where the water, instead of presenting
a level surface, ruffled only by the action of the wind, stood up
here and there in huge columns, it could hardly perplex us more than
these phenomena must perplex such extramundane intelligences as I
have supposed. How is it, they may well speculate, that the pressure
of population which piles families, tier on tier, above each other,
and raises such towering warehouses and workshops, does not cover
this vacant land with buildings and with homes? Some restraining cause
there must be; but what, it might well puzzle them to tell.
[18] A South Sea Islander,
however -- one of the old heathen sort, whom, in civilizing, we have
well-nigh exterminated, might make a guess. If one of their High Chiefs
tabooed a place or object, no one of the common sort of these superstitious
savages dare use or touch it. He must go around for miles rather than
set his feet on a tabooed path; must parch or die with thirst rather
than drink of a tabooed spring; must go hungry though the fruit of
a tabooed grove rotted on the ground before bis eyes. A South Sea
Islander would say that this vacant laud must be "taboo." And he would
be not far from the truth This land is vacant, simply because it is
cursed by that form of the taboo which we superstitiously venerate
under the names of "private property" and "vested rights."
[19] The invisible barrier
but for which buildings would rise and the city would spread, is the
high price of land, a price that increases the more certainly it is
seen that a growing population needs the land. Thus the stronger the
incentive to the use of land, the higher the barrier that arises against
its use. Tenement-houses are built among vacant lots because the price
that must be paid for land is so great that people who have not large
means must economize their use of land by living one family above
another.
[20] While in all of
our cities the value of land, which increases not merely with their
growth, but with the expectation of growth, thus operates to check
building and improvement, its effect is manifested through the country
in a somewhat different way. Instead of unduly crowding people together
it unduly separates them. The expectation of profit from the rise
in the value of land leads those who take up new land, not to content
themselves with what they may most profitably use, but to get all
the land they can, even though they must let a great part of it lie
idle; and large tracts are seized upon by those who make no pretense
of using any part of it, but merely calculate to make a profit out
of others who in time will be driven to use it. Thus population is
scattered, not only to loss of all the comforts, refinements, pleasures
and stimulations that come from neighborhood, but to the great loss
of productive power. The extra cost of constructing and maintaining
roads and railways, the greater distances over which produce and goods
must be transported, the difficulties which separation interposes
to that commerce between men which is necessary even to the ruder
forms of modern production, all retard and lessen production. While
just as the high value of land in and about a great city makes more
difficult the erection of buildings, so does increase in the value
of agricultural land make improvement difficult. The higher the value
of land the more capital does the farmer require if he buys outright;
or, if he buys on installments, or rents, the more of his earnings
must he give up every year. Men who would eagerly improve and cultivate
land could it be had for the using are thus turned away -- to wander
long distances and waste their means in looking for better opportunities;
to swell the ranks of those seeking for employment as wage-workers;
to go back to the cities or manufacturing villages in the endeavor
to make a living; or to remain idle, frequently for long periods,
and sometimes until they become utterly demoralized and worse than
useless tramps.
[21] Thus is production
checked in those vocations which form the foundation for all others.
This check to the production of some forms of wealth lessens demand
for other forms of wealth, and so the effect is propagated from one
branch of industry to another, begetting the phenomena that are spoken
of as over-production, but which are primarily due to restricted production.
[22] And as land values
tend to rise, not merely with the growth of population and wealth,
but with the expectation of that growth, thus enlisting in pushing
on the upward movement, the powerful and illusive sentiment of hope,
there is a constant tendency, especially strong in rapidly growing
countries, to carry up the price of land beyond the point at which
labor and capital can profitably engage in production, and the only
check to this is the refusal of labor and capital so to engage. This
tendency becomes peculiarly strong in recurring periods, when the
fever of speculation runs high, and leads at length to a correspondingly
general and sudden check to production, which propagating itself (by
checking demand) through all branches of industry, is the main cause
of those paroxysms known as commercial or industrial depressions,
and which are marked by wasting capital, idle labor, stocks of goods
that cannot be sold without loss, and wide-spread want and suffering.
It is true that other restrictions upon the free play of productive
forces operate to promote, intensify and continue these dislocations
of the industrial system, but that here is the main and primary cause
I think there can be no doubt.
[23] And this, perhaps,
is even more clear: That from whatever cause disturbance of industrial
and commercial relations may originally come, these periodical depressions
in which demand and supply seem unable to meet and satisfy each other
could not become wide-spread and persistent did productive forces
have free access to land. Nothing like general and protracted congestion
of capital and labor could take place were this natural vent open.
The moment symptoms of relative over-production manifested themselves
in any derivative branch of industry, the turning of capital and labor
toward those occupations which extract wealth from the soil would
give relief.
[24] Thus may we see
that those public misfortunes which we speak of as "business stagnation"
and "hard times," those public misfortunes that in periods of intensity
cause more loss and suffering than great wars, spring truly from our
ignorance and contempt of human rights; from our disregard of the
equal and unalienable right of all men freely to apply to nature for
the satisfaction of their needs, and to retain for their own uses
the full fruits of their labor.
Footnotes
[1] *Whether
taxes upon liquor and tobacco can be defended upon other grounds is
not here in question. What Adam Smith says upon this point may, however,
be worth quoting:
[1.2] "If
we consult experience, the cheapness of wine seems to be a cause,
not of drunkenness, but of sobriety. The inhabitants of the wine
countries are in general the soberest people in Europe; witness
the Spaniards, the Italians, and the inhabitants of the southern
provinces of France. People are seldom guilty of excess in what
is their daily fare. Nobody affects the character of liberality
and good fellowship, by being profuse of a liquor which is as cheap
as small beer. On the, contrary, in the countries which, either
from excessive heat or cold, produce no grapes, and where wine consequently
is dear, and a rarity, drunkenness is a common vice, as among the
northern nations, and all those who live between the tropics --
the negroes, for example, on the coast of Guinea. When a French
regiment comes from some of the northern provinces of France, where
wine is somewhat dear, to be quartered in the southern, where it
is very cheap, the soldiers, I have frequently heard it observed,
are at first debauched by the cheapness and novelty of good wine;
but after a few months' residence, the greater part of them become
as sober as the rest of the inhabitants. Were the duties upon foreign
wines, and the excises upon malt, beer, and ale, to be taken away
all at once, it might, in the same manner, occasion in Great Britain
a pretty general and temporary drunkenness among the middling and
inferior ranks of people, which would probably be soon followed
by a permanent and almost universal sobriety. At present, drunkenness
is by no means the vice of people of fashion, or of those who can
easily afford the most expensive liquors. A gentleman drunk with
ale has scarce ever been seen among us. The restraints upon the
wine trade in Great Britain, besides, do not so much seem calculated
to hinder the people from going, if I may say so, to the ale-house,
as from going where they can buy the best and cheapest liquor."
-- Wealth of Nations, Book IV., Chapter III.
[2] **
This arises from the widely spread but utterly false notion that property
should pay taxes only in proportion to the income it yields. In Great
Britain, this is carried to such a pitch of absurdity that unused
land pays no taxes, no matter how valuable it may be.
Table of Contents / Chapter
11 / Chapter 13
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